Sadly, I will remember the early 2000’s in South Africa for how graveyards and funeral parlours were growing everywhere.
This was brought about by politicians fudging the science behind HIV/AIDs and pushing a political agenda of garlic and beetroot when the scientists of the world demonstrated anti-retrovirals were the only solution to that terrifying disease.
It would be impossible to say how many lives were needlessly cut short, but conservative estimates put it in the hundreds of thousands.
Fast forward to January 2021. The Covid-19 global pandemic, although not as deadly as HIV/AIDs, is far more easily spread. An initial peak of infections in July 2020 is now being overshadowed by a more significant 2nd wave in January 2021. The next few weeks promise to get much worse following the festive season travels most South Africans enjoyed.
I am not one for endless criticism. I believe there were some elements of our government’s handing of the pandemic which were better than some so-called 1st world nations.
There were some clumsy regulations that banned cooked chicken and open-toed shoes but, in the context of the threat we faced, we could survive the silliness with our tried-and tested-South African humour.
However, when you consider what our government should have regarded to be the biggest priorities, this is where the similarities begin to align with those early 2000’s.
Firstly, our government had to ensure that additional healthcare capacity was developed in that first hard lockdown in the fastest period of time. That capacity had to be able to handle peaks of infections, protect healthcare workers and minimise economic impact to businesses and people. Much is known about how, despite the long lockdown of 2020, additional health capacity has been wholly inadequate and how patients are dying in the corridors of our hospitals while overworked healthcare professionals do what little they can.
Secondly, and the point I would like to dwell on, our government needed to elbow its way into the front of the international queue to get the Covid-19 vaccine into South Africa in sufficient quantities.
There is nothing mystical or magical about vaccines being the best solution to a virus that spreads this easily. No, it is not a cure, but it does ensure that the majority of your population can fight the virus with their own immune system, leaving our healthcare system able to manage the smaller numbers who need hospitalisation.
As I write this piece, 29 countries have started inoculating their populations. Israel is inoculating 500 000 of its citizens every day, at that rate they would finish in 17 days. Germany and Denmark are now focussing on when they should time the 2nd dose of their 2-phase vaccine rollouts.
You might look at this and suggest, rightly, that these comparisons may be unfair – apples with oranges.
Well consider this. The poorest country on earth, Nepal, has secured stock of the vaccine for at least 80% of its population. They are joined by Mexico, Uzbekistan, Costa Rica and Panama. Venezuela, a country with a collapsed economy and hyper-inflation of 10 million percent, has secured vaccine stocks to cover 30% of its population.
If you thought this was some kind of indictment on African nations you would be wrong again. Egypt and Morocco have locked down stocks to vaccinate a third of their populations.
So where is our government in respect securing the vaccine that would prevent tens or hundreds of thousands of deaths and safeguard our economy from 3rd, 4th and 5th waves of this pandemic? Still negotiating the price after having missed two deadlines, while foreign companies actually have facilities in our country that package the vaccines to ship overseas.
The Oxford-AstraZeneca vaccine is the cheapest at R100 for both required doses and would cost R4.1 billion to inoculate 70% of all South Africans. The Pfizer and BioNTech vaccine is the most expensive vaccine being offered on discount to South Africa at R295 for both required doses, which would cost R12.2 billion to inoculate every South African. With the reality that scientists project that 70% vaccination levels would be sufficient, these costs come down further.
When you consider how our government has casually blown billions on cabinet members VIP protection, SOE bailouts or enriching the Guptas, it does become infuriating that the price of the vaccine is becoming a stumbling block to saving of South African lives and jobs.
Like many of you, this virus had not touched me personally during the lockdown of last year. I heard of people who were infected but it had not struck close to home. Like you I suspect, In the past few weeks I have lost two close family members to the virus. What scares me is that we are yet to see the worst of this virus and further peaks of infections, like we are experiencing now, are predicted in the future until enough of our population is vaccinated.
History will judge our government unkindly for their failure to protect our country, its people and its economy. South Africans should judge their government more harshly because we are the ones who will lose loved ones whose deaths would have been preventable.